Forecast consensus from short-range models such as GFS indicates mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure over Madrid for September 23, supporting peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market's leading 33 °C outcome at 30 % implied probability while spreading volume across 31–35 °C bins amid typical 1–2 °C model spread and local urban heat-island effects. September 2026 has run several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average high of 26.5 °C, yet a gradual seasonal decline is evident in recent observations. Resolution hinges on official station readings at sites like Retiro Park; traders will monitor updated model runs and any late adjustments to surface heating or cloud cover through the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 23 de septiembre?
33°C 63%
34°C 37%
35°C 36%
32°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
28°C o menos
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
28%
33°C
63%
34°C
37%
35°C
36%
36°C
5%
37°C
5%
38°C o más
2%
33°C 63%
34°C 37%
35°C 36%
32°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$123 Vol.
63%
34°C
$0 Vol.
37%
35°C
$0 Vol.
36%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models such as GFS indicates mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure over Madrid for September 23, supporting peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market's leading 33 °C outcome at 30 % implied probability while spreading volume across 31–35 °C bins amid typical 1–2 °C model spread and local urban heat-island effects. September 2026 has run several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average high of 26.5 °C, yet a gradual seasonal decline is evident in recent observations. Resolution hinges on official station readings at sites like Retiro Park; traders will monitor updated model runs and any late adjustments to surface heating or cloud cover through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$123Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models such as GFS indicates mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure over Madrid for September 23, supporting peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market's leading 33 °C outcome at 30 % implied probability while spreading volume across 31–35 °C bins amid typical 1–2 °C model spread and local urban heat-island effects. September 2026 has run several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average high of 26.5 °C, yet a gradual seasonal decline is evident in recent observations. Resolution hinges on official station readings at sites like Retiro Park; traders will monitor updated model runs and any late adjustments to surface heating or cloud cover through the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$123Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from short-range models such as GFS indicates mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure over Madrid for September 23, supporting peak afternoon temperatures near 32–33 °C. This aligns with the market's leading 33 °C outcome at 30 % implied probability while spreading volume across 31–35 °C bins amid typical 1–2 °C model spread and local urban heat-island effects. September 2026 has run several degrees above the 1991–2020 September average high of 26.5 °C, yet a gradual seasonal decline is evident in recent observations. Resolution hinges on official station readings at sites like Retiro Park; traders will monitor updated model runs and any late adjustments to surface heating or cloud cover through the 48-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes