Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate moderating conditions for London on August 6 after a warmer start to the week, with daily maxima projected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but slightly above recent norms amid a summer already running 2°C warmer than baseline. Key drivers include high-pressure influence easing after August 4's 29°C peak and limited southerly flow, reducing heat advection risks. Updated ensemble runs show low probability for 25°C+ thresholds, with minimal model spread supporting the market's implied probabilities around these central values ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 6 de agosto?
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
20%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 20%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
19°C or below
$1,317 Vol.
1%
20°C
$843 Vol.
3%
21°C
$907 Vol.
4%
22°C
$427 Vol.
20%
23°C
$422 Vol.
39%
24°C
$182 Vol.
27%
25°C
$399 Vol.
10%
26°C
$92 Vol.
4%
27°C
$194 Vol.
1%
28°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$504 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate moderating conditions for London on August 6 after a warmer start to the week, with daily maxima projected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but slightly above recent norms amid a summer already running 2°C warmer than baseline. Key drivers include high-pressure influence easing after August 4's 29°C peak and limited southerly flow, reducing heat advection risks. Updated ensemble runs show low probability for 25°C+ thresholds, with minimal model spread supporting the market's implied probabilities around these central values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate moderating conditions for London on August 6 after a warmer start to the week, with daily maxima projected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but slightly above recent norms amid a summer already running 2°C warmer than baseline. Key drivers include high-pressure influence easing after August 4's 29°C peak and limited southerly flow, reducing heat advection risks. Updated ensemble runs show low probability for 25°C+ thresholds, with minimal model spread supporting the market's implied probabilities around these central values ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate moderating conditions for London on August 6 after a warmer start to the week, with daily maxima projected in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, consistent with climatological August averages near 22°C but slightly above recent norms amid a summer already running 2°C warmer than baseline. Key drivers include high-pressure influence easing after August 4's 29°C peak and limited southerly flow, reducing heat advection risks. Updated ensemble runs show low probability for 25°C+ thresholds, with minimal model spread supporting the market's implied probabilities around these central values ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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