Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS models indicates Warsaw will reach a peak of 32–33°C on August 6, driven by strong southerly warm-air advection beneath a broad high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C stems from small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower odds for 34°C capture the tail risk of slightly stronger advection or delayed cloud cover. Minor spread in afternoon convective initiation and 850 hPa temperature anomalies introduces the remaining uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 6 de agosto?
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,818 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,818 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o menos
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
$11,818 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,818 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$1,015 Vol.
2%
30°C
$434 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,121 Vol.
15%
32°C
$519 Vol.
30%
33°C
$5,500 Vol.
34%
34°C
$975 Vol.
13%
35°C
$841 Vol.
4%
36°C
$127 Vol.
1%
37°C
$364 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS models indicates Warsaw will reach a peak of 32–33°C on August 6, driven by strong southerly warm-air advection beneath a broad high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C stems from small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower odds for 34°C capture the tail risk of slightly stronger advection or delayed cloud cover. Minor spread in afternoon convective initiation and 850 hPa temperature anomalies introduces the remaining uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$11,818Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS models indicates Warsaw will reach a peak of 32–33°C on August 6, driven by strong southerly warm-air advection beneath a broad high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C stems from small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower odds for 34°C capture the tail risk of slightly stronger advection or delayed cloud cover. Minor spread in afternoon convective initiation and 850 hPa temperature anomalies introduces the remaining uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,818Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS models indicates Warsaw will reach a peak of 32–33°C on August 6, driven by strong southerly warm-air advection beneath a broad high-pressure ridge and mostly clear skies that maximize daytime heating. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C stems from small differences in model timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing, while the lower odds for 34°C capture the tail risk of slightly stronger advection or delayed cloud cover. Minor spread in afternoon convective initiation and 850 hPa temperature anomalies introduces the remaining uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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