Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Chengdu under cloudy skies on August 5, with projected daily highs near 30–33°C amid typical summer humidity and weak steering flows. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C or higher, highlights uncertainty in peak convective heating versus any late-day cooling from scattered showers. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent heatwave persistence and model spread on boundary-layer moisture differentiate the narrow band between these outcomes. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 5 de agosto?
34°C 30%
35°C or higher 27%
33°C 23%
32°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
10%
32°C
15%
33°C
23%
34°C
30%
35°C or higher
27%
34°C 30%
35°C or higher 27%
33°C 23%
32°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$15 Vol.
3%
30°C
$288 Vol.
5%
31°C
$11 Vol.
10%
32°C
$47 Vol.
15%
33°C
$15 Vol.
23%
34°C
$146 Vol.
30%
35°C or higher
$249 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Chengdu under cloudy skies on August 5, with projected daily highs near 30–33°C amid typical summer humidity and weak steering flows. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C or higher, highlights uncertainty in peak convective heating versus any late-day cooling from scattered showers. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent heatwave persistence and model spread on boundary-layer moisture differentiate the narrow band between these outcomes. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$1,329Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Chengdu under cloudy skies on August 5, with projected daily highs near 30–33°C amid typical summer humidity and weak steering flows. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C or higher, highlights uncertainty in peak convective heating versus any late-day cooling from scattered showers. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent heatwave persistence and model spread on boundary-layer moisture differentiate the narrow band between these outcomes. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,329Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models show Chengdu under cloudy skies on August 5, with projected daily highs near 30–33°C amid typical summer humidity and weak steering flows. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for 34°C versus 35°C or higher, highlights uncertainty in peak convective heating versus any late-day cooling from scattered showers. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, but recent heatwave persistence and model spread on boundary-layer moisture differentiate the narrow band between these outcomes. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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