The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 5 de agosto?
27°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$103,291 Vol.
$103,291 Vol.
5 ago 2026
21°C o menos
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$103,291 Vol.
$103,291 Vol.
5 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$541 Vol.
No
22°C
$535 Vol.
No
23°C
$924 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,998 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,194 Vol.
No
26°C
$37,161 Vol.
No
27°C
$41,717 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$7,217 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,847 Vol.
No
30°C
$563 Vol.
No
31°C o más
$1,596 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$103,291Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$103,291Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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