Current short-range forecasts from models including the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. A recent cold front has entrenched southerly flow and suppressed temperatures well below the August climatological mean of 15–17°C. These atmospheric conditions—typical of mid-winter high-pressure dominance in the region—explain why the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model guidance ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 12 de agosto?
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 20%
14°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
7%
11°C
20%
12°C
41%
13°C
24%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 41%
13°C 24%
11°C 20%
14°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
$72 Vol.
4%
10°C
$246 Vol.
7%
11°C
$830 Vol.
20%
12°C
$1,374 Vol.
41%
13°C
$185 Vol.
24%
14°C
$21 Vol.
9%
15°C
$32 Vol.
7%
16°C
$165 Vol.
1%
17°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$19 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models including the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. A recent cold front has entrenched southerly flow and suppressed temperatures well below the August climatological mean of 15–17°C. These atmospheric conditions—typical of mid-winter high-pressure dominance in the region—explain why the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model guidance ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,981Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models including the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. A recent cold front has entrenched southerly flow and suppressed temperatures well below the August climatological mean of 15–17°C. These atmospheric conditions—typical of mid-winter high-pressure dominance in the region—explain why the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model guidance ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,981Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models including the GFS and ECMWF point to a daytime maximum of 11–13°C for Buenos Aires on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. A recent cold front has entrenched southerly flow and suppressed temperatures well below the August climatological mean of 15–17°C. These atmospheric conditions—typical of mid-winter high-pressure dominance in the region—explain why the market-implied odds cluster tightly around 11–13°C, reflecting trader consensus on stable model guidance ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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