Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 12 de agosto?
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
$21,551 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,551 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
21%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 32%
26°C 21%
23°C 6%
NUEVO
$21,551 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,551 Vol.
12 ago 2026
19°C or below
$320 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$735 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,626 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,400 Vol.
4%
23°C
$4,678 Vol.
6%
24°C
$3,947 Vol.
35%
25°C
$1,883 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,469 Vol.
21%
27°C
$797 Vol.
2%
28°C
$521 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$3,174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$21,551Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,551Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo's August 12 maximum centers on narrow forecast spreads around 24–25°C, driven by the latest runs from regional models showing a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing convective activity and limiting peak insolation. In mid-winter conditions at 23°S, typical August baselines near 22–23°C can shift with minor changes in boundary-layer moisture from the Atlantic or reduced low-level cloudiness, which would allow urban heat-island amplification to push readings toward 26°C. INMET surface observations and updated guidance expected later today will determine the exact peak, explaining why market-implied odds remain tightly bunched rather than decisively favoring one outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes