Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and the UK Met Office indicate a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 53% implied probability on 26°C, as typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—driven by the subtropical high-pressure ridge—produce daily maxima clustered around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover, reducing chances of outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated runs in the coming 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 14 de agosto?
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
23°C o menos
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
53%
27°C
25%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 25%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$12 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
5%
25°C
$12 Vol.
17%
26°C
$14 Vol.
53%
27°C
$20 Vol.
25%
28°C
$1 Vol.
6%
29°C
$10 Vol.
3%
30°C
$33 Vol.
1%
31°C
$17 Vol.
4%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and the UK Met Office indicate a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 53% implied probability on 26°C, as typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—driven by the subtropical high-pressure ridge—produce daily maxima clustered around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover, reducing chances of outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated runs in the coming 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$176Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and the UK Met Office indicate a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 53% implied probability on 26°C, as typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—driven by the subtropical high-pressure ridge—produce daily maxima clustered around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover, reducing chances of outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated runs in the coming 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$176Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate and the UK Met Office indicate a high of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 14, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northerly winds. This aligns with the market's strong 53% implied probability on 26°C, as typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—driven by the subtropical high-pressure ridge—produce daily maxima clustered around the long-term August average of 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from sea-breeze moderation and minimal cloud cover, reducing chances of outliers above 28°C or below 25°C. Updated runs in the coming 48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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