Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 13 de agosto?
28°C 41%
27°C 38%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
45%
28°C
41%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 41%
27°C 38%
29°C 11%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$19 Vol.
1%
24°C
$7 Vol.
1%
25°C
$12 Vol.
4%
26°C
$123 Vol.
12%
27°C
$273 Vol.
45%
28°C
$95 Vol.
41%
29°C
$7 Vol.
11%
30°C
$7 Vol.
3%
31°C
$15 Vol.
6%
32°C
$12 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$7 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$576Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$576Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from models like those informing BBC and timeanddate point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C in Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer high pressure with moderate northerly Etesian winds moderating Black Sea and Marmara Sea surface influences. These patterns keep daytime maxima close to the 27–29°C climatological range, with low precipitation risk and limited cloud cover allowing efficient solar heating. Trader consensus around 27–28°C reflects narrow uncertainty from potential wind shifts or slight model spread in boundary-layer moisture, while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C+ highlight the narrow window before resolution by official Turkish Meteorological Service observations. Upcoming model runs may refine steering flows and diurnal maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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