Recent KMA short-range forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with ongoing heatwave conditions that have kept overnight lows elevated near 24–26°C in recent days. Trader consensus clustering at 23–24°C reflects model spread and potential for modest radiational cooling if humidity drops or winds remain light overnight, against Seoul’s August climatological average low near 23°C. Global ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, limiting upside risk above 25°C while supporting the narrow 22–25°C band that dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 13 de agosto?
23°C 50%
24°C 45%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
34%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C o superior
1%
23°C 50%
24°C 45%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$73 Vol.
1%
19°C
$10 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$180 Vol.
9%
23°C
$31 Vol.
34%
24°C
$23 Vol.
45%
25°C
$65 Vol.
13%
26°C
$67 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C o superior
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with ongoing heatwave conditions that have kept overnight lows elevated near 24–26°C in recent days. Trader consensus clustering at 23–24°C reflects model spread and potential for modest radiational cooling if humidity drops or winds remain light overnight, against Seoul’s August climatological average low near 23°C. Global ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, limiting upside risk above 25°C while supporting the narrow 22–25°C band that dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$503Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with ongoing heatwave conditions that have kept overnight lows elevated near 24–26°C in recent days. Trader consensus clustering at 23–24°C reflects model spread and potential for modest radiational cooling if humidity drops or winds remain light overnight, against Seoul’s August climatological average low near 23°C. Global ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, limiting upside risk above 25°C while supporting the narrow 22–25°C band that dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$503Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA short-range forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies and light easterly winds, consistent with ongoing heatwave conditions that have kept overnight lows elevated near 24–26°C in recent days. Trader consensus clustering at 23–24°C reflects model spread and potential for modest radiational cooling if humidity drops or winds remain light overnight, against Seoul’s August climatological average low near 23°C. Global ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns or moisture, limiting upside risk above 25°C while supporting the narrow 22–25°C band that dominates market-implied probabilities. Updated KMA and ECMWF runs ahead of the 13th will likely refine these odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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