Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Moscow’s August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, underpinning the tight 25 °C (36.5 %) and 24 °C (27.5 %) market leads. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic flow limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range modest. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions without strong warm advection. Traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and Roshydromet surface observations for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 11 de agosto?
25°C 38%
24°C 22%
26°C 14%
23°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
22%
25°C
38%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 38%
24°C 22%
26°C 14%
23°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
21°C or below
$31 Vol.
3%
22°C
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$48 Vol.
22%
25°C
$53 Vol.
38%
26°C
$113 Vol.
14%
27°C
$84 Vol.
3%
28°C
$49 Vol.
3%
29°C
$32 Vol.
5%
30°C
$22 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Moscow’s August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, underpinning the tight 25 °C (36.5 %) and 24 °C (27.5 %) market leads. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic flow limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range modest. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions without strong warm advection. Traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and Roshydromet surface observations for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$462Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Moscow’s August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, underpinning the tight 25 °C (36.5 %) and 24 °C (27.5 %) market leads. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic flow limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range modest. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions without strong warm advection. Traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and Roshydromet surface observations for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$462Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Moscow’s August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, underpinning the tight 25 °C (36.5 %) and 24 °C (27.5 %) market leads. A weakening high-pressure ridge and moderating Atlantic flow limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce nocturnal cooling, keeping the diurnal range modest. Historical August maxima average near 23 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal conditions without strong warm advection. Traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and Roshydromet surface observations for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could tip the outcome between the two leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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