**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 11 minimum temperature centers on 27°C (47.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.0%), with 26°C at 13.0%.** These reflect current ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and expected strong thunderstorms with overcast skies on August 11 limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima near 26–28°C. Official guidance indicates no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops to 25°C or below. Recent model updates through early August confirm a stable warm pattern without major shifts from incoming weather systems. Historical August baselines for Shanghai feature typical nighttime lows of 25–27°C, providing climatological support for the market's leading outcomes. Upcoming forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles could refine these probabilities if thunderstorm timing or cloud cover changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de agosto?
27°C 48%
28°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
48%
28°C
31%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 31%
26°C 13%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$630 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$113 Vol.
1%
24°C
$11 Vol.
3%
25°C
$10 Vol.
6%
26°C
$21 Vol.
13%
27°C
$75 Vol.
48%
28°C
$10 Vol.
31%
29°C
$20 Vol.
8%
30°C
$20 Vol.
1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 11 minimum temperature centers on 27°C (47.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.0%), with 26°C at 13.0%.** These reflect current ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate.
Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and expected strong thunderstorms with overcast skies on August 11 limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima near 26–28°C. Official guidance indicates no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops to 25°C or below. Recent model updates through early August confirm a stable warm pattern without major shifts from incoming weather systems.
Historical August baselines for Shanghai feature typical nighttime lows of 25–27°C, providing climatological support for the market's leading outcomes. Upcoming forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles could refine these probabilities if thunderstorm timing or cloud cover changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$945Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 11 minimum temperature centers on 27°C (47.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.0%), with 26°C at 13.0%.** These reflect current ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate.
Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and expected strong thunderstorms with overcast skies on August 11 limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima near 26–28°C. Official guidance indicates no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops to 25°C or below. Recent model updates through early August confirm a stable warm pattern without major shifts from incoming weather systems.
Historical August baselines for Shanghai feature typical nighttime lows of 25–27°C, providing climatological support for the market's leading outcomes. Upcoming forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles could refine these probabilities if thunderstorm timing or cloud cover changes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$945Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 11 minimum temperature centers on 27°C (47.5% implied probability) and 28°C (31.0%), with 26°C at 13.0%.** These reflect current ensemble forecasts showing overnight lows clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius amid Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and expected strong thunderstorms with overcast skies on August 11 limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima near 26–28°C. Official guidance indicates no significant cold advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow deeper drops to 25°C or below. Recent model updates through early August confirm a stable warm pattern without major shifts from incoming weather systems. Historical August baselines for Shanghai feature typical nighttime lows of 25–27°C, providing climatological support for the market's leading outcomes. Upcoming forecast revisions from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles could refine these probabilities if thunderstorm timing or cloud cover changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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