Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 9 de agosto?
14°C 61%
15°C 24%
13°C 17%
12°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
17%
14°C
61%
15°C
24%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 61%
15°C 24%
13°C 17%
12°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
17%
14°C
61%
15°C
24%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts position a 14°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 9, consistent with the month’s climatological average high and current model consensus from sources such as NIWA and AccuWeather. Cool winter conditions prevail in the Southern Hemisphere, with a recent cool spell on August 5 resolving at 9°C and ongoing near- or below-average temperature probabilities through August. Short-range guidance points to highs near 12–14°C under overcast, showery skies with moderate winds typical of the region’s maritime climate. These factors explain the strong market weighting toward 13–15°C while underscoring forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and frontal systems.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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