Recent NEA and MSS outlooks for early August 2026 highlight drier southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmth as the main drivers tilting trader sentiment toward 32–33°C highs on August 9. These factors typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall, supporting daily maxima of 33–34°C across most of the fortnight while allowing localized thundery showers to moderate peaks on any given day. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs under similar ENSO phases show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal baseline of 31–32°C, creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NEA briefings and refined numerical forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 9 de agosto?
32°C 48%
33°C 40%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
48%
33°C
40%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 40%
31°C 8%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
48%
33°C
40%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NEA and MSS outlooks for early August 2026 highlight drier southwest monsoon conditions and El Niño-driven warmth as the main drivers tilting trader sentiment toward 32–33°C highs on August 9. These factors typically suppress cloud cover and rainfall, supporting daily maxima of 33–34°C across most of the fortnight while allowing localized thundery showers to moderate peaks on any given day. Short-term model consensus and historical analogs under similar ENSO phases show modest day-to-day variability around the seasonal baseline of 31–32°C, creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Updated NEA briefings and refined numerical forecasts in the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes