Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 9 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling within a warmer-than-average air mass. This setup aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal temperatures driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK and developing El Niño conditions favoring reduced Atlantic influence. Traders have converged on 17–18°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and few scenarios for stronger cooling, while historical August climatology places typical minima around 14–15°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will provide the next key test of whether any shift in steering flow or cloud cover alters the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de agosto?
17°C 43%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
28%
17°C
43%
18°C
23%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o más
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
12°C o menos
$63 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$94 Vol.
1%
15°C
$130 Vol.
3%
16°C
$2,164 Vol.
28%
17°C
$2,272 Vol.
43%
18°C
$388 Vol.
23%
19°C
$141 Vol.
4%
20°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
22°C o más
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 9 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling within a warmer-than-average air mass. This setup aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal temperatures driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK and developing El Niño conditions favoring reduced Atlantic influence. Traders have converged on 17–18°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and few scenarios for stronger cooling, while historical August climatology places typical minima around 14–15°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will provide the next key test of whether any shift in steering flow or cloud cover alters the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,841Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 9 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling within a warmer-than-average air mass. This setup aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal temperatures driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK and developing El Niño conditions favoring reduced Atlantic influence. Traders have converged on 17–18°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and few scenarios for stronger cooling, while historical August climatology places typical minima around 14–15°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will provide the next key test of whether any shift in steering flow or cloud cover alters the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,841Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate an overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 9 under persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling within a warmer-than-average air mass. This setup aligns with the broader 2026 summer pattern of above-normal temperatures driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK and developing El Niño conditions favoring reduced Atlantic influence. Traders have converged on 17–18°C outcomes because ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and few scenarios for stronger cooling, while historical August climatology places typical minima around 14–15°C. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will provide the next key test of whether any shift in steering flow or cloud cover alters the implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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