**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Taipei on August 8, reflecting the strong influence of peak summer conditions in the city's subtropical climate.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs of 28–31°C with partly cloudy skies and showers, yet recent observations—including a 37°C reading on August 5—combined with typical August climatology of 32–34°C averages and high humidity, sustain elevated probabilities for exceeding that threshold. Model uncertainty around daytime heating, urban heat island effects, and potential breaks in cloud cover explain the market's tilt, as traders weigh verified recent data against forecast ranges that could shift with updated runs. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given established seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 8 de agosto?
32°C or higher 71%
31°C 16%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
NUEVO
$56,707 Vol.
NUEVO
$56,707 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
71%
32°C or higher 71%
31°C 16%
30°C 9%
29°C 2%
NUEVO
$56,707 Vol.
NUEVO
$56,707 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C or below
$803 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,595 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,411 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,394 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,222 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5,375 Vol.
1%
29°C
$7,960 Vol.
2%
30°C
$6,668 Vol.
9%
31°C
$6,594 Vol.
16%
32°C or higher
$13,556 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Taipei on August 8, reflecting the strong influence of peak summer conditions in the city's subtropical climate.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs of 28–31°C with partly cloudy skies and showers, yet recent observations—including a 37°C reading on August 5—combined with typical August climatology of 32–34°C averages and high humidity, sustain elevated probabilities for exceeding that threshold. Model uncertainty around daytime heating, urban heat island effects, and potential breaks in cloud cover explain the market's tilt, as traders weigh verified recent data against forecast ranges that could shift with updated runs. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given established seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$56,707Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Taipei on August 8, reflecting the strong influence of peak summer conditions in the city's subtropical climate.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs of 28–31°C with partly cloudy skies and showers, yet recent observations—including a 37°C reading on August 5—combined with typical August climatology of 32–34°C averages and high humidity, sustain elevated probabilities for exceeding that threshold. Model uncertainty around daytime heating, urban heat island effects, and potential breaks in cloud cover explain the market's tilt, as traders weigh verified recent data against forecast ranges that could shift with updated runs. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given established seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56,707Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 32°C or higher in Taipei on August 8, reflecting the strong influence of peak summer conditions in the city's subtropical climate.** Official Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs of 28–31°C with partly cloudy skies and showers, yet recent observations—including a 37°C reading on August 5—combined with typical August climatology of 32–34°C averages and high humidity, sustain elevated probabilities for exceeding that threshold. Model uncertainty around daytime heating, urban heat island effects, and potential breaks in cloud cover explain the market's tilt, as traders weigh verified recent data against forecast ranges that could shift with updated runs. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature, with minimal chance of cooler outcomes given established seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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