The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 33°C on August 7, 2026, underpins the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover promoted strong daytime heating over the urban heat island, aligning with seasonal norms for a hot August day while falling short of extreme thresholds. Forecast model consensus from the Observatory projected a peak near this level, with minimal convective disruption. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at the measurement site, late-day thunderstorm cooling that could trim the peak by 1°C, or post-verification adjustments in the official record, though such shifts remain uncommon given the agency's rigorous protocols.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 7 de agosto?
33°C 99.9%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$251,295 Vol.
$251,295 Vol.
7 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.9%
34°C <1%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
$251,295 Vol.
$251,295 Vol.
7 ago 2026
29°C or below
$11,101 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,796 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,256 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$58,997 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$57,593 Vol.
100%
34°C
$41,545 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$30,577 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$17,164 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$16,688 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$3,717 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$3,863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 33°C on August 7, 2026, underpins the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover promoted strong daytime heating over the urban heat island, aligning with seasonal norms for a hot August day while falling short of extreme thresholds. Forecast model consensus from the Observatory projected a peak near this level, with minimal convective disruption. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at the measurement site, late-day thunderstorm cooling that could trim the peak by 1°C, or post-verification adjustments in the official record, though such shifts remain uncommon given the agency's rigorous protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$251,295Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 33°C on August 7, 2026, underpins the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover promoted strong daytime heating over the urban heat island, aligning with seasonal norms for a hot August day while falling short of extreme thresholds. Forecast model consensus from the Observatory projected a peak near this level, with minimal convective disruption. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at the measurement site, late-day thunderstorm cooling that could trim the peak by 1°C, or post-verification adjustments in the official record, though such shifts remain uncommon given the agency's rigorous protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$251,295Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 33°C on August 7, 2026, underpins the 99.9% market-implied probability for that outcome. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover promoted strong daytime heating over the urban heat island, aligning with seasonal norms for a hot August day while falling short of extreme thresholds. Forecast model consensus from the Observatory projected a peak near this level, with minimal convective disruption. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate variations at the measurement site, late-day thunderstorm cooling that could trim the peak by 1°C, or post-verification adjustments in the official record, though such shifts remain uncommon given the agency's rigorous protocols.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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