**Trader consensus centers on 35–37°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8, 2026, with 36°C holding a narrow lead.** This reflects model agreement on hot conditions driven by subsidence warming on the northern periphery of a nearby typhoon system, which promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating amid typical August humidity above 75%. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (97°F/36°C), timeanddate (98°F/37°C), and BBC (35°C) cluster in this range, exceeding climatological averages near 32–33°C. Differentiation among the top outcomes hinges on variables such as afternoon cloud build-up, timing of isolated thunderstorms, and local urban heat effects, which can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and international model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 8 de agosto?
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
$13,150 Vol.
$13,150 Vol.
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C o más
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
37°C 17%
34°C 13%
$13,150 Vol.
$13,150 Vol.
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 35–37°C as the highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 8, 2026, with 36°C holding a narrow lead.** This reflects model agreement on hot conditions driven by subsidence warming on the northern periphery of a nearby typhoon system, which promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and strong solar heating amid typical August humidity above 75%. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including AccuWeather (97°F/36°C), timeanddate (98°F/37°C), and BBC (35°C) cluster in this range, exceeding climatological averages near 32–33°C. Differentiation among the top outcomes hinges on variables such as afternoon cloud build-up, timing of isolated thunderstorms, and local urban heat effects, which can trim or boost the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and international model runs tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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