**Marine layer effects and coastal moderation are positioning mid-to-upper 70s as the consensus range for Los Angeles’s official high on August 6.** National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles International Airport station (the typical reference point) indicate highs near 77–78°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps daytime warming despite the broader Southwest heat wave. This pattern aligns closely with the market’s heaviest trading at 78–79°F (50%) and 76–77°F (38%). Recent model consensus and observed coastal cooling on August 4–5 reinforce these levels, while higher bins (80°F+) remain low-probability tail outcomes requiring a breakdown in the marine influence. Traders are weighting the reliable climatological baseline and latest short-range guidance over inland heat signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 6 de agosto?
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
$14,858 Vol.
$14,858 Vol.
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 38%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
$14,858 Vol.
$14,858 Vol.
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
38%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer effects and coastal moderation are positioning mid-to-upper 70s as the consensus range for Los Angeles’s official high on August 6.** National Weather Service forecasts for the Los Angeles International Airport station (the typical reference point) indicate highs near 77–78°F under persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer, which caps daytime warming despite the broader Southwest heat wave. This pattern aligns closely with the market’s heaviest trading at 78–79°F (50%) and 76–77°F (38%). Recent model consensus and observed coastal cooling on August 4–5 reinforce these levels, while higher bins (80°F+) remain low-probability tail outcomes requiring a breakdown in the marine influence. Traders are weighting the reliable climatological baseline and latest short-range guidance over inland heat signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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