Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72–73°F (41.5% implied probability) for San Francisco on August 6, reflecting the dominant influence of the cool Pacific marine layer and persistent onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Official long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August daily highs near 69–72°F, with sea breezes and morning fog limiting warming even during periods of broader regional heat. Recent early-August observations show San Francisco running slightly above the 67.7°F historical average for the date but well below inland peaks, with no strong offshore wind or high-pressure setup expected to push values into the mid-70s or higher. Model consensus keeps the most likely range tightly clustered between 70–75°F, consistent with the market’s top three outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 6 de agosto?
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o menos
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
42%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
72-73°F 42%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$212 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$45 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$149 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$1,220 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$476 Vol.
42%
74-75°F
$241 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$222 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$78 Vol.
3%
80-81°F
$166 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$568 Vol.
<1%
84°F o más
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72–73°F (41.5% implied probability) for San Francisco on August 6, reflecting the dominant influence of the cool Pacific marine layer and persistent onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Official long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August daily highs near 69–72°F, with sea breezes and morning fog limiting warming even during periods of broader regional heat. Recent early-August observations show San Francisco running slightly above the 67.7°F historical average for the date but well below inland peaks, with no strong offshore wind or high-pressure setup expected to push values into the mid-70s or higher. Model consensus keeps the most likely range tightly clustered between 70–75°F, consistent with the market’s top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$3,707Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72–73°F (41.5% implied probability) for San Francisco on August 6, reflecting the dominant influence of the cool Pacific marine layer and persistent onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Official long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August daily highs near 69–72°F, with sea breezes and morning fog limiting warming even during periods of broader regional heat. Recent early-August observations show San Francisco running slightly above the 67.7°F historical average for the date but well below inland peaks, with no strong offshore wind or high-pressure setup expected to push values into the mid-70s or higher. Model consensus keeps the most likely range tightly clustered between 70–75°F, consistent with the market’s top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,707Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72–73°F (41.5% implied probability) for San Francisco on August 6, reflecting the dominant influence of the cool Pacific marine layer and persistent onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Official long-range guidance from AccuWeather and climatological data place typical August daily highs near 69–72°F, with sea breezes and morning fog limiting warming even during periods of broader regional heat. Recent early-August observations show San Francisco running slightly above the 67.7°F historical average for the date but well below inland peaks, with no strong offshore wind or high-pressure setup expected to push values into the mid-70s or higher. Model consensus keeps the most likely range tightly clustered between 70–75°F, consistent with the market’s top three outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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