Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 7 amid an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs reaching 35–37°C. High humidity levels near 80% suppress radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, while weak synoptic forcing and light easterly winds limit advection of cooler air. This setup aligns with early-August climatology of 24–27°C minimums yet favors the upper end given persistent warm-air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–28°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by 1°C either way, with 29°C remaining viable if nocturnal temperatures hold higher than expected. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 7 de agosto?
28°C 70%
27°C 41%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
41%
28°C
54%
29°C
19%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 70%
27°C 41%
29°C 19%
26°C 9%
23°C o menos
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
41%
28°C
54%
29°C
19%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul-Incheon overnight lows stabilizing near 27–28°C on August 7 amid an ongoing heatwave with daytime highs reaching 35–37°C. High humidity levels near 80% suppress radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies, while weak synoptic forcing and light easterly winds limit advection of cooler air. This setup aligns with early-August climatology of 24–27°C minimums yet favors the upper end given persistent warm-air advection. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–28°C because ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the minimum by 1°C either way, with 29°C remaining viable if nocturnal temperatures hold higher than expected. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes