Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5 concentrated around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show typical subtropical summer conditions with daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow brief warming. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce enough uncertainty to keep 30°C and 32°C within striking distance of the leading 31°C outcome. Updated guidance two days before the date will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 5 de agosto?
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
33°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
33°C 13%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
32%
31°C
38%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5 concentrated around 30–32°C because official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show typical subtropical summer conditions with daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating, while clearer intervals allow brief warming. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model spread and potential for afternoon convection introduce enough uncertainty to keep 30°C and 32°C within striking distance of the leading 31°C outcome. Updated guidance two days before the date will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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