Recent Met Office and European model runs point to a mild overnight minimum in London on August 5, supported by building high pressure that promotes light winds, limited cloud cover, and reduced radiational cooling within a warmer-than-average airmass. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK further limit overnight drops, while urban heat-island effects in central London add a small upward bias to readings. Trader consensus clusters on 18 °C and 19 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with 17 °C remaining plausible if clearer skies allow greater cooling. Updated forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will tighten the range by clarifying cloud and wind evolution ahead of the 24-hour minimum period used for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de agosto?
18°C 48%
19°C 34%
17°C 14%
20°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
8%
17°C
14%
18°C
48%
19°C
34%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 48%
19°C 34%
17°C 14%
20°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
$54 Vol.
1%
14°C
$51 Vol.
7%
15°C
$177 Vol.
7%
16°C
$15 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$71 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$11 Vol.
9%
21°C
$15 Vol.
2%
22°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs point to a mild overnight minimum in London on August 5, supported by building high pressure that promotes light winds, limited cloud cover, and reduced radiational cooling within a warmer-than-average airmass. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK further limit overnight drops, while urban heat-island effects in central London add a small upward bias to readings. Trader consensus clusters on 18 °C and 19 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with 17 °C remaining plausible if clearer skies allow greater cooling. Updated forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will tighten the range by clarifying cloud and wind evolution ahead of the 24-hour minimum period used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$563Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs point to a mild overnight minimum in London on August 5, supported by building high pressure that promotes light winds, limited cloud cover, and reduced radiational cooling within a warmer-than-average airmass. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK further limit overnight drops, while urban heat-island effects in central London add a small upward bias to readings. Trader consensus clusters on 18 °C and 19 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with 17 °C remaining plausible if clearer skies allow greater cooling. Updated forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will tighten the range by clarifying cloud and wind evolution ahead of the 24-hour minimum period used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$563Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs point to a mild overnight minimum in London on August 5, supported by building high pressure that promotes light winds, limited cloud cover, and reduced radiational cooling within a warmer-than-average airmass. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK further limit overnight drops, while urban heat-island effects in central London add a small upward bias to readings. Trader consensus clusters on 18 °C and 19 °C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around these values, with 17 °C remaining plausible if clearer skies allow greater cooling. Updated forecasts issued in the next 24–48 hours will tighten the range by clarifying cloud and wind evolution ahead of the 24-hour minimum period used for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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