Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a likely daily maximum near 19°C for Helsinki on August 5, yet market-implied odds cluster around 19–22°C due to ensemble model spread in short-range guidance. Key differentiating factors include evolving pressure patterns over the Baltic region, variable cloud cover and wind advection from the Gulf of Finland, and the moderating influence of sea surface temperatures that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks by 1–3°C. With only two days until resolution and no strong blocking high or frontal system currently dominant, small shifts in the latest ECMWF or HIRLAM runs could tip the outcome across these thresholds, consistent with typical early-August variability around the 20°C climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 5 de agosto?
22°C 31%
21°C 29%
20°C 23%
19°C 17%
17°C o menos
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
23%
21°C
29%
22°C
31%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 31%
21°C 29%
20°C 23%
19°C 17%
17°C o menos
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
17%
20°C
23%
21°C
29%
22°C
31%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate a likely daily maximum near 19°C for Helsinki on August 5, yet market-implied odds cluster around 19–22°C due to ensemble model spread in short-range guidance. Key differentiating factors include evolving pressure patterns over the Baltic region, variable cloud cover and wind advection from the Gulf of Finland, and the moderating influence of sea surface temperatures that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks by 1–3°C. With only two days until resolution and no strong blocking high or frontal system currently dominant, small shifts in the latest ECMWF or HIRLAM runs could tip the outcome across these thresholds, consistent with typical early-August variability around the 20°C climatological average.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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