Persistent summer heat and humidity across eastern China position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 5, with market-implied odds reflecting recent model runs showing overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius. A severe thunderstorm on August 1 following peak daytime heat near 38°C introduced localized cooling and increased cloud cover, modestly elevating probabilities for slightly lower readings around 27°C. Forecasters note typical August climatology supports minima near 25–27°C amid high moisture and weak steering winds that limit rapid nocturnal drops, while any clearer skies or subsidence could push values toward 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these trader consensus levels ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 5 de agosto?
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
26°C 14%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
8%
26°C
14%
27°C
13%
28°C
35%
29°C
34%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
1%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
26°C 14%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$20 Vol.
12%
25°C
$7 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$15 Vol.
35%
29°C
$49 Vol.
34%
30°C
$15 Vol.
10%
31°C
$15 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and humidity across eastern China position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 5, with market-implied odds reflecting recent model runs showing overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius. A severe thunderstorm on August 1 following peak daytime heat near 38°C introduced localized cooling and increased cloud cover, modestly elevating probabilities for slightly lower readings around 27°C. Forecasters note typical August climatology supports minima near 25–27°C amid high moisture and weak steering winds that limit rapid nocturnal drops, while any clearer skies or subsidence could push values toward 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these trader consensus levels ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$141Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and humidity across eastern China position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 5, with market-implied odds reflecting recent model runs showing overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius. A severe thunderstorm on August 1 following peak daytime heat near 38°C introduced localized cooling and increased cloud cover, modestly elevating probabilities for slightly lower readings around 27°C. Forecasters note typical August climatology supports minima near 25–27°C amid high moisture and weak steering winds that limit rapid nocturnal drops, while any clearer skies or subsidence could push values toward 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these trader consensus levels ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$141Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat and humidity across eastern China position 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 5, with market-implied odds reflecting recent model runs showing overnight lows in the upper 20s Celsius. A severe thunderstorm on August 1 following peak daytime heat near 38°C introduced localized cooling and increased cloud cover, modestly elevating probabilities for slightly lower readings around 27°C. Forecasters note typical August climatology supports minima near 25–27°C amid high moisture and weak steering winds that limit rapid nocturnal drops, while any clearer skies or subsidence could push values toward 29–30°C. Updated numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these trader consensus levels ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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