PAGASA forecasts for August 5, 2026, indicate a maximum of 30–31°C in Metro Manila amid the southwest monsoon, with 60–90% rain chances and scattered thunderstorms linked to Tropical Cyclone Luis. These conditions favor the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that suppress daytime peaks relative to the 31°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential under persistent moisture and weak steering, keeping highs near or below recent observations. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall decreases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 5 de agosto?
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
35%
29°C
32%
30°C
19%
31°C
11%
32°C o más
8%
28°C 35%
29°C 32%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$40 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$59 Vol.
12%
26°C
$104 Vol.
8%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
35%
29°C
$14 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$19 Vol.
11%
32°C o más
$40 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for August 5, 2026, indicate a maximum of 30–31°C in Metro Manila amid the southwest monsoon, with 60–90% rain chances and scattered thunderstorms linked to Tropical Cyclone Luis. These conditions favor the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that suppress daytime peaks relative to the 31°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential under persistent moisture and weak steering, keeping highs near or below recent observations. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall decreases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$250Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for August 5, 2026, indicate a maximum of 30–31°C in Metro Manila amid the southwest monsoon, with 60–90% rain chances and scattered thunderstorms linked to Tropical Cyclone Luis. These conditions favor the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that suppress daytime peaks relative to the 31°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential under persistent moisture and weak steering, keeping highs near or below recent observations. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall decreases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$250Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for August 5, 2026, indicate a maximum of 30–31°C in Metro Manila amid the southwest monsoon, with 60–90% rain chances and scattered thunderstorms linked to Tropical Cyclone Luis. These conditions favor the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that suppress daytime peaks relative to the 31°C August climatological average. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential under persistent moisture and weak steering, keeping highs near or below recent observations. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if rainfall decreases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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