Recent monsoon conditions over northern India, including ongoing spells of rain and widespread cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and anchoring trader focus on highs near 30–32°C for August 5. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models show persistent moisture and thundershower activity that typically caps maximum temperatures 2–4°C below pre-monsoon peaks, consistent with the historical August average of roughly 32°C. With resolution just two days away, any shift in model consensus on rainfall timing or intensity could quickly adjust implied probabilities among the tightly bunched 29–32°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 5 de agosto?
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 17%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
26%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C o más
4%
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
32°C 18%
29°C 17%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
26%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C o más
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions over northern India, including ongoing spells of rain and widespread cloud cover, are moderating daytime heating in Lucknow and anchoring trader focus on highs near 30–32°C for August 5. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models show persistent moisture and thundershower activity that typically caps maximum temperatures 2–4°C below pre-monsoon peaks, consistent with the historical August average of roughly 32°C. With resolution just two days away, any shift in model consensus on rainfall timing or intensity could quickly adjust implied probabilities among the tightly bunched 29–32°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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