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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?

jul 31

ago 1

ago 2

ago 3

jul 31

ago 1

ago 2

ago 3

28°C 34%

29°C 29%

27°C 17%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

28°C 34%

29°C 29%

27°C 17%

30°C 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

22°C or below

$797 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$11 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$562 Vol.

1%

25°C

$86 Vol.

1%

26°C

$112 Vol.

4%

27°C

$171 Vol.

17%

28°C

$134 Vol.

34%

29°C

$590 Vol.

29%

30°C

$298 Vol.

9%

31°C

$362 Vol.

5%

32°C or higher

$83 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,206
Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models indicate showers and high humidity on August 3, 2026, likely capping maximum temperatures near 28–29°C by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Seasonal outlooks project normal-to-above-normal August temperatures amid the long-term warming trend, yet near-term moisture from the monsoon trough introduces variability that keeps 30°C+ outcomes at low market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on official HKO measurements at the Hong Kong Observatory headquarters, where urban heat effects and precise timing of any convective activity could shift readings by 1°C. Traders are weighting these short-range dynamics heavily given the narrow two-day horizon.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,206
Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "28°C" con 34%, seguido de "29°C" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?" es "28°C" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "29°C" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 3 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.