Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high near 70–74 °F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit daytime heating despite a broader Western ridge, while variable cloud cover and the timing of any fog clearance introduce the main uncertainty between the 70–71 °F and 74–75 °F outcomes. Historical August averages near 70 °F and the current lack of strong offshore winds further support the narrow probability spread, with updated morning forecasts likely to refine the final range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 5 de agosto?
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
5%
84°F o más
<1%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
76-77°F 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$80 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
6%
68-69°F
$35 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$299 Vol.
27%
72-73°F
$103 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$107 Vol.
27%
76-77°F
$139 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$85 Vol.
7%
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$27 Vol.
5%
84°F o más
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high near 70–74 °F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit daytime heating despite a broader Western ridge, while variable cloud cover and the timing of any fog clearance introduce the main uncertainty between the 70–71 °F and 74–75 °F outcomes. Historical August averages near 70 °F and the current lack of strong offshore winds further support the narrow probability spread, with updated morning forecasts likely to refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$985Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high near 70–74 °F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit daytime heating despite a broader Western ridge, while variable cloud cover and the timing of any fog clearance introduce the main uncertainty between the 70–71 °F and 74–75 °F outcomes. Historical August averages near 70 °F and the current lack of strong offshore winds further support the narrow probability spread, with updated morning forecasts likely to refine the final range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$985Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance points to a high near 70–74 °F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer are expected to limit daytime heating despite a broader Western ridge, while variable cloud cover and the timing of any fog clearance introduce the main uncertainty between the 70–71 °F and 74–75 °F outcomes. Historical August averages near 70 °F and the current lack of strong offshore winds further support the narrow probability spread, with updated morning forecasts likely to refine the final range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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