**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for August 6, driven by near-term forecast guidance showing typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions.** August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv features average daily highs of 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, moderated by sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Current model consensus and extended-range outlooks align with this baseline, projecting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C with minimal deviation expected from stable atmospheric patterns, low humidity variability, and no incoming heatwave signals. Historical station data from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm that temperatures exceeding 34°C require specific synoptic setups (such as easterly flows) that are not currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed trends from the prior week, which show steady readings in the low-30s Celsius range. This produces the observed market skew toward 32°C while leaving modest probability on 33°C should minor warming occur.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 6 de agosto?
32°C 57%
33°C 30%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
57%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 57%
33°C 30%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
29°C or below
$548 Vol.
1%
30°C
$180 Vol.
1%
31°C
$398 Vol.
9%
32°C
$692 Vol.
57%
33°C
$169 Vol.
30%
34°C
$211 Vol.
5%
35°C
$367 Vol.
1%
36°C
$430 Vol.
1%
37°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for August 6, driven by near-term forecast guidance showing typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions.**
August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv features average daily highs of 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, moderated by sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Current model consensus and extended-range outlooks align with this baseline, projecting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C with minimal deviation expected from stable atmospheric patterns, low humidity variability, and no incoming heatwave signals. Historical station data from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm that temperatures exceeding 34°C require specific synoptic setups (such as easterly flows) that are not currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed trends from the prior week, which show steady readings in the low-30s Celsius range. This produces the observed market skew toward 32°C while leaving modest probability on 33°C should minor warming occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,795Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for August 6, driven by near-term forecast guidance showing typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions.**
August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv features average daily highs of 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, moderated by sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Current model consensus and extended-range outlooks align with this baseline, projecting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C with minimal deviation expected from stable atmospheric patterns, low humidity variability, and no incoming heatwave signals. Historical station data from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm that temperatures exceeding 34°C require specific synoptic setups (such as easterly flows) that are not currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed trends from the prior week, which show steady readings in the low-30s Celsius range. This produces the observed market skew toward 32°C while leaving modest probability on 33°C should minor warming occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,795Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Tel Aviv highest-temperature market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes for August 6, driven by near-term forecast guidance showing typical midsummer Mediterranean conditions.** August climatology for coastal Tel Aviv features average daily highs of 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, moderated by sea breezes from the Mediterranean that limit extreme heat. Current model consensus and extended-range outlooks align with this baseline, projecting maximum temperatures near 31–33°C with minimal deviation expected from stable atmospheric patterns, low humidity variability, and no incoming heatwave signals. Historical station data from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm that temperatures exceeding 34°C require specific synoptic setups (such as easterly flows) that are not currently indicated. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and observed trends from the prior week, which show steady readings in the low-30s Celsius range. This produces the observed market skew toward 32°C while leaving modest probability on 33°C should minor warming occur.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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