Recent forecasts indicate Moscow will experience peak surface heating near 29–30°C on August 6 under partly sunny skies and light winds, producing closely matched market odds between those thresholds. Diurnal temperature rise depends on solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon cloud development that limits radiative warming, while Moscow’s urban heat island can add 1–2°C locally. Recent days have featured above-normal highs near 30°C amid a warm air mass, keeping 31°C plausible if mixing is stronger than models project. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in maximum values, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and moisture, which traders weigh against climatological August averages around 23–24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 6 de agosto?
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
37%
30°C
39%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$717 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$280 Vol.
1%
27°C
$272 Vol.
2%
28°C
$428 Vol.
15%
29°C
$646 Vol.
37%
30°C
$414 Vol.
39%
31°C
$1,223 Vol.
12%
32°C
$246 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$139 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow will experience peak surface heating near 29–30°C on August 6 under partly sunny skies and light winds, producing closely matched market odds between those thresholds. Diurnal temperature rise depends on solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon cloud development that limits radiative warming, while Moscow’s urban heat island can add 1–2°C locally. Recent days have featured above-normal highs near 30°C amid a warm air mass, keeping 31°C plausible if mixing is stronger than models project. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in maximum values, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and moisture, which traders weigh against climatological August averages around 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$6,229Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow will experience peak surface heating near 29–30°C on August 6 under partly sunny skies and light winds, producing closely matched market odds between those thresholds. Diurnal temperature rise depends on solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon cloud development that limits radiative warming, while Moscow’s urban heat island can add 1–2°C locally. Recent days have featured above-normal highs near 30°C amid a warm air mass, keeping 31°C plausible if mixing is stronger than models project. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in maximum values, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and moisture, which traders weigh against climatological August averages around 23–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,229Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Moscow will experience peak surface heating near 29–30°C on August 6 under partly sunny skies and light winds, producing closely matched market odds between those thresholds. Diurnal temperature rise depends on solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any afternoon cloud development that limits radiative warming, while Moscow’s urban heat island can add 1–2°C locally. Recent days have featured above-normal highs near 30°C amid a warm air mass, keeping 31°C plausible if mixing is stronger than models project. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread in maximum values, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing and moisture, which traders weigh against climatological August averages around 23–24°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes