**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 6 highest temperature centers on the 32–34°C range, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions tempered by a modest cooling trend.** Recent local forecasts indicate a daytime high near 33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, with humidity sustaining muggy conditions and limiting extreme heat buildup. Earlier in the month, highs reached 36–37.5°C under clearer skies, but increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances have nudged expectations slightly lower. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, providing climatological context, while AccuWeather's extended outlook projects daily maxima mostly between 29–34°C through mid-month. No major typhoon or anomalous circulation shifts are currently forecast to alter this trajectory before the 6th, keeping probabilities concentrated on the middle outcomes as traders weigh short-term model guidance against Shanghai's humid summer baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 6 de agosto?
33°C 43%
34°C 32%
32°C 20%
35°C 5%
$13,512 Vol.
$13,512 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
43%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 43%
34°C 32%
32°C 20%
35°C 5%
$13,512 Vol.
$13,512 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
43%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 6 highest temperature centers on the 32–34°C range, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August subtropical monsoon conditions tempered by a modest cooling trend.** Recent local forecasts indicate a daytime high near 33°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms, with humidity sustaining muggy conditions and limiting extreme heat buildup. Earlier in the month, highs reached 36–37.5°C under clearer skies, but increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances have nudged expectations slightly lower. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, providing climatological context, while AccuWeather's extended outlook projects daily maxima mostly between 29–34°C through mid-month. No major typhoon or anomalous circulation shifts are currently forecast to alter this trajectory before the 6th, keeping probabilities concentrated on the middle outcomes as traders weigh short-term model guidance against Shanghai's humid summer baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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