Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s across the New York metro area on August 6, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when dew points often remain elevated and suppress temperature drops. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread around 74-79°F, with no strong cool-air advection expected before the overnight period. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum near 76°F while assigning lower probability to outliers below 74°F or above 80°F that would require atypical clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 6 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 6 de agosto?
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o menos
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o más
1%
76-77°F 44%
74-75°F 16%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$20 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$70 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$31 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$14 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$1 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$52 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$419 Vol.
44%
78-79°F
$276 Vol.
15%
80-81°F
$11 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$296 Vol.
1%
84°F o más
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s across the New York metro area on August 6, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when dew points often remain elevated and suppress temperature drops. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread around 74-79°F, with no strong cool-air advection expected before the overnight period. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum near 76°F while assigning lower probability to outliers below 74°F or above 80°F that would require atypical clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s across the New York metro area on August 6, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when dew points often remain elevated and suppress temperature drops. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread around 74-79°F, with no strong cool-air advection expected before the overnight period. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum near 76°F while assigning lower probability to outliers below 74°F or above 80°F that would require atypical clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid- to upper-70s across the New York metro area on August 6, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered shower chances. This setup favors the market's leading 76-77°F bin, consistent with seasonal norms for early August when dew points often remain elevated and suppress temperature drops. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread around 74-79°F, with no strong cool-air advection expected before the overnight period. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus minimum near 76°F while assigning lower probability to outliers below 74°F or above 80°F that would require atypical clear skies or stronger southerly flow. Updated model guidance and official NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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