Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs position 88–91°F as the leading outcomes for New York City’s peak temperature on August 6, reflecting a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with surface dew points near 70°F supporting heat retention overnight and limiting diurnal cooling. Recent 48-hour forecast updates have nudged probabilities slightly higher as the 500-hPa pattern remains stable, though typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 85°F, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 6 de agosto?
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
92-93°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 24%
92-93°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
79°F or below
$153 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$474 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$45 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$63 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$67 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$239 Vol.
41%
90-91°F
$195 Vol.
28%
92-93°F
$209 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$371 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$246 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs position 88–91°F as the leading outcomes for New York City’s peak temperature on August 6, reflecting a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with surface dew points near 70°F supporting heat retention overnight and limiting diurnal cooling. Recent 48-hour forecast updates have nudged probabilities slightly higher as the 500-hPa pattern remains stable, though typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 85°F, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,272Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs position 88–91°F as the leading outcomes for New York City’s peak temperature on August 6, reflecting a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with surface dew points near 70°F supporting heat retention overnight and limiting diurnal cooling. Recent 48-hour forecast updates have nudged probabilities slightly higher as the 500-hPa pattern remains stable, though typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 85°F, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,272Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs position 88–91°F as the leading outcomes for New York City’s peak temperature on August 6, reflecting a building ridge of high pressure that favors subsidence warming and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with surface dew points near 70°F supporting heat retention overnight and limiting diurnal cooling. Recent 48-hour forecast updates have nudged probabilities slightly higher as the 500-hPa pattern remains stable, though typical model divergence on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing could still shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical early-August climatology places the mean daily maximum near 85°F, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly consistent with trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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