Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely peak near 99–101 °F under a strong subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon mixing depth, or brief convective debris can shift the daily maximum across the 100 °F threshold. Historical climatology shows early-August Austin maxima average 96–98 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated 500-hPa heights and dew points in the mid-70s support the modest upward bias reflected in market pricing. Updated model runs and the 12Z sounding on August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 6 de agosto?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 37%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$38 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$131 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$479 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$45 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$261 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$64 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$86 Vol.
37%
102-103°F
$85 Vol.
9%
104-105°F
$223 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
108°F o más
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely peak near 99–101 °F under a strong subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon mixing depth, or brief convective debris can shift the daily maximum across the 100 °F threshold. Historical climatology shows early-August Austin maxima average 96–98 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated 500-hPa heights and dew points in the mid-70s support the modest upward bias reflected in market pricing. Updated model runs and the 12Z sounding on August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,603Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely peak near 99–101 °F under a strong subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon mixing depth, or brief convective debris can shift the daily maximum across the 100 °F threshold. Historical climatology shows early-August Austin maxima average 96–98 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated 500-hPa heights and dew points in the mid-70s support the modest upward bias reflected in market pricing. Updated model runs and the 12Z sounding on August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,603Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate Austin highs on August 6 will likely peak near 99–101 °F under a strong subtropical ridge, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus splits between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon mixing depth, or brief convective debris can shift the daily maximum across the 100 °F threshold. Historical climatology shows early-August Austin maxima average 96–98 °F, but the current pattern’s elevated 500-hPa heights and dew points in the mid-70s support the modest upward bias reflected in market pricing. Updated model runs and the 12Z sounding on August 6 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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