Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate Austin highs for early August 2026 in the 96–102°F range, aligning with the climatological peak when average daily maxima reach 98–99°F. Mostly sunny conditions and typical summer moisture levels support temperatures near this baseline without strong advection or upper-level support for extremes, keeping 98–99°F as the modal outcome at 53% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance through August 5 shows limited deviation risk, with any 100–101°F push depending on exact solar heating and dew point suppression. Historical analogs confirm early August highs cluster tightly around 97–100°F absent major pattern shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 5 de agosto?
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 3.9%
$11,516 Vol.
$11,516 Vol.
5 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 3.9%
$11,516 Vol.
$11,516 Vol.
5 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$684 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$721 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$637 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$622 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,767 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$3,766 Vol.
53%
100-101°F
$1,028 Vol.
33%
102-103°F
$829 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$761 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$415 Vol.
1%
108°F o más
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate Austin highs for early August 2026 in the 96–102°F range, aligning with the climatological peak when average daily maxima reach 98–99°F. Mostly sunny conditions and typical summer moisture levels support temperatures near this baseline without strong advection or upper-level support for extremes, keeping 98–99°F as the modal outcome at 53% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance through August 5 shows limited deviation risk, with any 100–101°F push depending on exact solar heating and dew point suppression. Historical analogs confirm early August highs cluster tightly around 97–100°F absent major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$11,516Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate Austin highs for early August 2026 in the 96–102°F range, aligning with the climatological peak when average daily maxima reach 98–99°F. Mostly sunny conditions and typical summer moisture levels support temperatures near this baseline without strong advection or upper-level support for extremes, keeping 98–99°F as the modal outcome at 53% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance through August 5 shows limited deviation risk, with any 100–101°F push depending on exact solar heating and dew point suppression. Historical analogs confirm early August highs cluster tightly around 97–100°F absent major pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,516Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather indicate Austin highs for early August 2026 in the 96–102°F range, aligning with the climatological peak when average daily maxima reach 98–99°F. Mostly sunny conditions and typical summer moisture levels support temperatures near this baseline without strong advection or upper-level support for extremes, keeping 98–99°F as the modal outcome at 53% implied probability. Updated short-range guidance through August 5 shows limited deviation risk, with any 100–101°F push depending on exact solar heating and dew point suppression. Historical analogs confirm early August highs cluster tightly around 97–100°F absent major pattern shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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