Current forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies indicate a high near 25°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and broken cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28%), as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant deviation absent unexpected ridging. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while recent model runs have stabilized around these values with modest uncertainty tied to cloud timing and wind speeds. Traders appear to weigh the proximity to resolution—now just two days out—against typical forecast variability in late-summer patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 6 de agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 30%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
16%
25°C
47%
26°C
30%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 30%
24°C 16%
27°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$263 Vol.
1%
22°C
$182 Vol.
2%
23°C
$284 Vol.
5%
24°C
$408 Vol.
16%
25°C
$511 Vol.
47%
26°C
$378 Vol.
30%
27°C
$191 Vol.
5%
28°C
$286 Vol.
2%
29°C
$274 Vol.
1%
30°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$556 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies indicate a high near 25°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and broken cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28%), as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant deviation absent unexpected ridging. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while recent model runs have stabilized around these values with modest uncertainty tied to cloud timing and wind speeds. Traders appear to weigh the proximity to resolution—now just two days out—against typical forecast variability in late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies indicate a high near 25°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and broken cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28%), as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant deviation absent unexpected ridging. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while recent model runs have stabilized around these values with modest uncertainty tied to cloud timing and wind speeds. Traders appear to weigh the proximity to resolution—now just two days out—against typical forecast variability in late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,400Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies indicate a high near 25°C in Paris on August 6, 2026, driven by a shift to northwesterly flow and broken cloud cover that limits daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 25°C (46%) and 26°C (28%), as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for significant deviation absent unexpected ridging. Historical August averages near 24–25°C provide context, while recent model runs have stabilized around these values with modest uncertainty tied to cloud timing and wind speeds. Traders appear to weigh the proximity to resolution—now just two days out—against typical forecast variability in late-summer patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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