Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily high near 80°F for Chicago on August 3, reflecting a modest cooldown from seasonal normals of 83–84°F driven by increased cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary. This positions the 80–81°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F close behind amid minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs. Recent upper-level ridging has moderated heat buildup compared to mid-July peaks, while lake-breeze effects and dew points in the mid-60s further cap afternoon maxima. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 3 de agosto?
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
69°F o menos
$347 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$509 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$148 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$468 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$307 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$1,232 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$1,131 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$577 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$347 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily high near 80°F for Chicago on August 3, reflecting a modest cooldown from seasonal normals of 83–84°F driven by increased cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary. This positions the 80–81°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F close behind amid minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs. Recent upper-level ridging has moderated heat buildup compared to mid-July peaks, while lake-breeze effects and dew points in the mid-60s further cap afternoon maxima. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$5,683Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily high near 80°F for Chicago on August 3, reflecting a modest cooldown from seasonal normals of 83–84°F driven by increased cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary. This positions the 80–81°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F close behind amid minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs. Recent upper-level ridging has moderated heat buildup compared to mid-July peaks, while lake-breeze effects and dew points in the mid-60s further cap afternoon maxima. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,683Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily high near 80°F for Chicago on August 3, reflecting a modest cooldown from seasonal normals of 83–84°F driven by increased cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary. This positions the 80–81°F bin as the market leader at 43.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F close behind amid minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs. Recent upper-level ridging has moderated heat buildup compared to mid-July peaks, while lake-breeze effects and dew points in the mid-60s further cap afternoon maxima. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycle tonight represent the key near-term catalysts that could refine these odds ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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