Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and aligned international models indicate a peak of 36–37°C for August 8 under clear to partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat-island amplification sustaining elevated readings. These dynamics position 38°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes (53.5% and 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of guidance amid typical August climatology of 33–35°C daytime maxima. Minor model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or brief showers introduce limited downside risk to 36°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze effects could push toward 39°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations in the final 24 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 8 de agosto?
38°C 54%
37°C 27%
39°C 14%
36°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,916 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,916 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C o menos
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
5%
37°C
27%
38°C
54%
39°C
14%
40°C
3%
41°C o más
<1%
38°C 54%
37°C 27%
39°C 14%
36°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,916 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,916 Vol.
8 ago 2026
31°C o menos
$487 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$621 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$560 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$634 Vol.
1%
35°C
$491 Vol.
1%
36°C
$452 Vol.
5%
37°C
$1,533 Vol.
27%
38°C
$4,047 Vol.
54%
39°C
$1,667 Vol.
14%
40°C
$1,138 Vol.
3%
41°C o más
$2,288 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and aligned international models indicate a peak of 36–37°C for August 8 under clear to partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat-island amplification sustaining elevated readings. These dynamics position 38°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes (53.5% and 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of guidance amid typical August climatology of 33–35°C daytime maxima. Minor model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or brief showers introduce limited downside risk to 36°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze effects could push toward 39°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations in the final 24 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$13,916Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and aligned international models indicate a peak of 36–37°C for August 8 under clear to partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat-island amplification sustaining elevated readings. These dynamics position 38°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes (53.5% and 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of guidance amid typical August climatology of 33–35°C daytime maxima. Minor model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or brief showers introduce limited downside risk to 36°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze effects could push toward 39°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations in the final 24 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,916Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory and aligned international models indicate a peak of 36–37°C for August 8 under clear to partly cloudy subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and urban heat-island amplification sustaining elevated readings. These dynamics position 38°C and 37°C as the leading market-implied outcomes (53.5% and 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the upper end of guidance amid typical August climatology of 33–35°C daytime maxima. Minor model spread and potential for localized cloud cover or brief showers introduce limited downside risk to 36°C, while stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze effects could push toward 39°C. Updated numerical guidance and real-time observations in the final 24 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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