Persistent summer high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas position early August highs near seasonal peaks, with National Weather Service and model guidance indicating 98–101°F ranges for Austin on August 8. Recent short-term forecasts show upper-90s to low triple-digit potential without immediate cooling fronts, consistent with climatological averages of 98–99°F during the hottest period of the year when subsidence warming and strong insolation maximize daytime temperatures. The market-implied 50% probability on 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of this baseline pattern, tempered by minor uncertainty from possible scattered convection or slight model spread in ridge strength. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria around official Austin-Bergstrom measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 8 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 8 de agosto?
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 28%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
87°F o menos
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
42%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
15%
106°F o más
4%
98-99°F 42%
96-97°F 28%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
87°F o menos
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$12 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$22 Vol.
7%
94-95°F
$2 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$106 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$25 Vol.
42%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$11 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$34 Vol.
15%
106°F o más
$34 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas position early August highs near seasonal peaks, with National Weather Service and model guidance indicating 98–101°F ranges for Austin on August 8. Recent short-term forecasts show upper-90s to low triple-digit potential without immediate cooling fronts, consistent with climatological averages of 98–99°F during the hottest period of the year when subsidence warming and strong insolation maximize daytime temperatures. The market-implied 50% probability on 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of this baseline pattern, tempered by minor uncertainty from possible scattered convection or slight model spread in ridge strength. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria around official Austin-Bergstrom measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$270Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas position early August highs near seasonal peaks, with National Weather Service and model guidance indicating 98–101°F ranges for Austin on August 8. Recent short-term forecasts show upper-90s to low triple-digit potential without immediate cooling fronts, consistent with climatological averages of 98–99°F during the hottest period of the year when subsidence warming and strong insolation maximize daytime temperatures. The market-implied 50% probability on 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of this baseline pattern, tempered by minor uncertainty from possible scattered convection or slight model spread in ridge strength. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria around official Austin-Bergstrom measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$270Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer high pressure and clear skies over Central Texas position early August highs near seasonal peaks, with National Weather Service and model guidance indicating 98–101°F ranges for Austin on August 8. Recent short-term forecasts show upper-90s to low triple-digit potential without immediate cooling fronts, consistent with climatological averages of 98–99°F during the hottest period of the year when subsidence warming and strong insolation maximize daytime temperatures. The market-implied 50% probability on 98–99°F reflects trader assessment of this baseline pattern, tempered by minor uncertainty from possible scattered convection or slight model spread in ridge strength. Upcoming NWS updates and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria around official Austin-Bergstrom measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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