Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin’s August 7 high in the upper 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 98-99°F outcome. Persistent hot, dry conditions across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover, support this range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 96–98°F. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or moisture, keeping 100°F+ or sub-96°F scenarios less likely. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observation at official stations, with any last-minute shifts in the forecast discussion or local mesonet data capable of adjusting implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 7 de agosto?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 23%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$108 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$326 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$50 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$41 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$108 Vol.
23%
98-99°F
$694 Vol.
56%
100-101°F
$47 Vol.
15%
102-103°F
$71 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$200 Vol.
<1%
108°F o más
$141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin’s August 7 high in the upper 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 98-99°F outcome. Persistent hot, dry conditions across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover, support this range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 96–98°F. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or moisture, keeping 100°F+ or sub-96°F scenarios less likely. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observation at official stations, with any last-minute shifts in the forecast discussion or local mesonet data capable of adjusting implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,926Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin’s August 7 high in the upper 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 98-99°F outcome. Persistent hot, dry conditions across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover, support this range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 96–98°F. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or moisture, keeping 100°F+ or sub-96°F scenarios less likely. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observation at official stations, with any last-minute shifts in the forecast discussion or local mesonet data capable of adjusting implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,926Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Austin’s August 7 high in the upper 90s, aligning with the market’s leading 98-99°F outcome. Persistent hot, dry conditions across central Texas, driven by strong high pressure and minimal cloud cover, support this range, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 96–98°F. Recent model runs show limited variability from steering patterns or moisture, keeping 100°F+ or sub-96°F scenarios less likely. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observation at official stations, with any last-minute shifts in the forecast discussion or local mesonet data capable of adjusting implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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