Drier southwest monsoon conditions and a recent National Environment Agency advisory have positioned Singapore for above-average maximum temperatures of 33–34°C during the first half of August 2026, elevating trader focus on 32°C (55.5% implied probability) as the most likely peak for August 6. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate a narrow range centered near 31–33°C, with fair and occasionally windy skies supporting modest daytime heating while localized afternoon thundery showers introduce variability that caps upside risk at 34°C or higher (under 1%). Market odds reflect this consensus around historical August averages of 31°C, tempered by model uncertainty in steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C depending on the final 24-hour forecast update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 6 de agosto?
32°C 55%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
30°C 2.8%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
23%
32°C
55%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
30°C 2.8%
$11,437 Vol.
$11,437 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
23%
32°C
55%
33°C
22%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier southwest monsoon conditions and a recent National Environment Agency advisory have positioned Singapore for above-average maximum temperatures of 33–34°C during the first half of August 2026, elevating trader focus on 32°C (55.5% implied probability) as the most likely peak for August 6. Official forecasts from AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate a narrow range centered near 31–33°C, with fair and occasionally windy skies supporting modest daytime heating while localized afternoon thundery showers introduce variability that caps upside risk at 34°C or higher (under 1%). Market odds reflect this consensus around historical August averages of 31°C, tempered by model uncertainty in steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C depending on the final 24-hour forecast update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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