Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 4 de agosto?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
69°F o menos
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 34%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
69°F o menos
$440 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,187 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$714 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$727 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$1,500 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$578 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$864 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$332 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$383 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$7,160Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,160Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble runs points to a moderating marine layer and persistent onshore flow along the Southern California coast, limiting daytime heating and positioning the daily high near 75–77°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 4. Stronger-than-normal sea breezes and potential low stratus clouds are expected to cap insolation during peak afternoon hours, keeping readings below the climatological August average of 84°F. Trader sentiment has tightened around the 74–79°F range following the latest short-range guidance that shows minimal warming despite broader regional heat signals, with only modest upside risk if the marine influence weakens. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles from the NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard office will be the key near-term catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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