Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 10 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 10 de agosto?
30°C 100.0%
24°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
10 ago 2026
24°C o menos
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Sí
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o más
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,036 Vol.
$63,036 Vol.
10 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$1,900 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,057 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,010 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,597 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,464 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,514 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,430 Vol.
Sí
31°C
$13,027 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,281 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,606 Vol.
No
34°C o más
$1,151 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$63,036Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,036Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual warm, humid air masses following Typhoon Dolphin kept overnight minimum temperatures elevated across Hong Kong on August 10, 2026. Hong Kong Observatory data and numerical model consensus indicated limited radiative cooling under mostly cloudy conditions, with thundery showers providing insufficient relief to drop the official headquarters station minimum below 30°C. This strong observational and forecast alignment produced the market’s near-certain consensus on a 30°C low. A realistic challenge would have required substantially heavier nocturnal precipitation or an unexpected cold-air intrusion capable of lowering the measured minimum to 29°C or below at the reference station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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