Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila through mid-August, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA forecasts for August 17 project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain probability, aligning with wet-season climatology where convective clouds and humidity typically suppress highs near or below the 30–31°C August average. These conditions position 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on monsoon-driven moderation rather than drier, hotter scenarios. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the morning of August 17 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 17 de agosto?
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
45%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
27°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$92 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$84 Vol.
1%
26°C
$338 Vol.
1%
27°C
$148 Vol.
6%
28°C
$202 Vol.
30%
29°C
$713 Vol.
45%
30°C
$80 Vol.
17%
31°C
$176 Vol.
6%
32°C
$274 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$64 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila through mid-August, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA forecasts for August 17 project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain probability, aligning with wet-season climatology where convective clouds and humidity typically suppress highs near or below the 30–31°C August average. These conditions position 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on monsoon-driven moderation rather than drier, hotter scenarios. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the morning of August 17 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$2,207Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila through mid-August, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA forecasts for August 17 project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain probability, aligning with wet-season climatology where convective clouds and humidity typically suppress highs near or below the 30–31°C August average. These conditions position 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on monsoon-driven moderation rather than drier, hotter scenarios. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the morning of August 17 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,207Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (Habagat) activity over Luzon has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Metro Manila through mid-August, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima. PAGASA forecasts for August 17 project a 26–32°C range with 60% rain probability, aligning with wet-season climatology where convective clouds and humidity typically suppress highs near or below the 30–31°C August average. These conditions position 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on monsoon-driven moderation rather than drier, hotter scenarios. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings through the morning of August 17 will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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