Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows the highest temperature on August 17 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 70s, with the tight 39.0% and 38.5% market-implied odds on 78-79°F versus 76-77°F reflecting minor spreads in how far the marine layer and sea breeze penetrate inland by afternoon. Stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 76-77°F, while partial clearing and slightly warmer 850 hPa temperatures support the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology places average daily highs near 84°F, yet persistent marine influence this week has kept recent observations 5-8°F below normal, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 76-79°F window ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 17 de agosto?
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 37%
80-81°F 10%
74-75°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 43%
76-77°F 37%
80-81°F 10%
74-75°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
67°F o menos
$50 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$130 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$235 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$77 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$191 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$157 Vol.
37%
78-79°F
$583 Vol.
43%
80-81°F
$74 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$324 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$135 Vol.
1%
86°F o más
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows the highest temperature on August 17 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 70s, with the tight 39.0% and 38.5% market-implied odds on 78-79°F versus 76-77°F reflecting minor spreads in how far the marine layer and sea breeze penetrate inland by afternoon. Stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 76-77°F, while partial clearing and slightly warmer 850 hPa temperatures support the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology places average daily highs near 84°F, yet persistent marine influence this week has kept recent observations 5-8°F below normal, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 76-79°F window ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$2,081Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows the highest temperature on August 17 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 70s, with the tight 39.0% and 38.5% market-implied odds on 78-79°F versus 76-77°F reflecting minor spreads in how far the marine layer and sea breeze penetrate inland by afternoon. Stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 76-77°F, while partial clearing and slightly warmer 850 hPa temperatures support the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology places average daily highs near 84°F, yet persistent marine influence this week has kept recent observations 5-8°F below normal, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 76-79°F window ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,081Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles shows the highest temperature on August 17 most likely falling in the mid-to-upper 70s, with the tight 39.0% and 38.5% market-implied odds on 78-79°F versus 76-77°F reflecting minor spreads in how far the marine layer and sea breeze penetrate inland by afternoon. Stronger onshore flow or earlier cloud cover would cap readings near 76-77°F, while partial clearing and slightly warmer 850 hPa temperatures support the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology places average daily highs near 84°F, yet persistent marine influence this week has kept recent observations 5-8°F below normal, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 76-79°F window ahead of final verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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