Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 18 de agosto?
34°C 37%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
36°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C
25%
34°C
35%
35°C
22%
36°C
16%
37°C o más
2%
34°C 37%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
36°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$118 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$296 Vol.
5%
31°C
$58 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$18 Vol.
25%
34°C
$8 Vol.
35%
35°C
$10 Vol.
22%
36°C
$25 Vol.
16%
37°C o más
$28 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$779Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$779Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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