National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 16 de agosto?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 10%
78-79°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
71°F or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$71 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$840 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$380 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$445 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$187 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$681 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$204 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$351 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$3,456Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,456Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 81°F in New York City today under sunny skies and light northeast winds, aligning closely with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Model consensus from official guidance supports modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, while historical August baselines average 83°F. Slight uncertainty in peak timing, urban heat island effects, and minor forecast revisions keeps the 82-83°F outcome at 37.5%, with lower bins reflecting limited downside risk from any unexpected cooling. Traders monitor updated NWS briefings for final resolution criteria based on Central Park observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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