Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 15 de agosto?
26°C 29%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
29%
27°C
24%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
27°C 24%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
$368 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$22 Vol.
1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$64 Vol.
2%
24°C
$169 Vol.
8%
25°C
$140 Vol.
19%
26°C
$241 Vol.
29%
27°C
$109 Vol.
24%
28°C
$255 Vol.
9%
29°C
$185 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$296 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$1,879Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,879Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models show the current UK heatwave peaking mid-week before moderating, placing London’s August 15 maximum most likely in the mid-20s °C amid variable high pressure and possible scattered showers. Ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact steering patterns and cloud cover that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C either way, while climatological baselines for mid-August sit near 22 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 26 °C and 27 °C therefore reflects the balance of these near-term dynamical forecasts against historical variability rather than any single deterministic run.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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