Recent forecast guidance for Guangzhou shows highs likely peaking near 35–36°C on August 13, with trader consensus reflecting modest uncertainty from evolving East Asian summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow greater surface warming amid high humidity. Model runs diverge on cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, directly separating the closely matched 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C outcomes. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C, combined with observed warming trends, provide context but do not resolve short-term variability driven by local steering patterns and urban heat effects. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 13 de agosto?
36°C 36%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
14%
35°C
27%
36°C
36%
37°C
22%
38°C
4%
39°C o más
2%
36°C 36%
35°C 27%
37°C 22%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$133 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
7%
34°C
$31 Vol.
14%
35°C
$4 Vol.
27%
36°C
$5 Vol.
36%
37°C
$132 Vol.
22%
38°C
$149 Vol.
4%
39°C o más
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Guangzhou shows highs likely peaking near 35–36°C on August 13, with trader consensus reflecting modest uncertainty from evolving East Asian summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow greater surface warming amid high humidity. Model runs diverge on cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, directly separating the closely matched 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C outcomes. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C, combined with observed warming trends, provide context but do not resolve short-term variability driven by local steering patterns and urban heat effects. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$632Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Guangzhou shows highs likely peaking near 35–36°C on August 13, with trader consensus reflecting modest uncertainty from evolving East Asian summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow greater surface warming amid high humidity. Model runs diverge on cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, directly separating the closely matched 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C outcomes. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C, combined with observed warming trends, provide context but do not resolve short-term variability driven by local steering patterns and urban heat effects. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$632Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Guangzhou shows highs likely peaking near 35–36°C on August 13, with trader consensus reflecting modest uncertainty from evolving East Asian summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms can suppress maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals allow greater surface warming amid high humidity. Model runs diverge on cloud cover and timing of any convective activity, directly separating the closely matched 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C outcomes. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C, combined with observed warming trends, provide context but do not resolve short-term variability driven by local steering patterns and urban heat effects. Updated numerical weather predictions from regional agencies are expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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